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Surge in Coinbase Call Options Signals Investor Optimism

Analysis of rising Coinbase call options trading volumes and investor strategies amid Bitcoin's price surge.
Published on 2023-10-23

Coinbase Call Options Spike

Trading volumes for Coinbase (NASDAQ: COIN) call options expiring soon have surged, indicating strong investor optimism. This increase suggests that investors expect Coinbase's stock to rise above $81.78, despite a significant decline from $99.77 since July. The current stock price is $78.20.

Bitcoin's Influence on Investor Sentiment

Bitcoin's impressive 23% price increase, from $25,162 in mid-September to nearly $31,000, may be a driving factor behind this optimism. The rise in Bitcoin's value appears to have positively impacted Coinbase's crypto trading activities, potentially boosting revenues beyond the projected $655 million for late Q3 and October.

Strategic Investment Moves

Investors are not only betting on a rise in Coinbase's stock value but are also engaging in strategic options trading. By shorting out-of-the-money put options with near-term expirations, such as the $73.00 strike price options for November 10, investors are capitalizing on high premiums. These options were sold for $4.05 each, providing substantial put yield and downside protection down to $68.95 per share.

Alternative Investment Strategy

Another approach involves securing cash or margin for each put contract to be shorted and selling these contracts at the strike price. If these contracts expire worthless, repeating this strategy every three weeks could result in an annualized expected return of 94.3%. This approach presents a considerable potential upside for investors in Coinbase.

The combination of Bitcoin's price surge and strategic options trading indicates a bullish outlook for Coinbase, attracting increased investor interest and potentially driving future stock gains.

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