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Long-Term Bitcoin Investors Signal Potential Price Surge

Analysis of Bitcoin UTXO Value Bands and rising self-custody trends indicate potential for increased BTC prices driven by long-term investors.
Published on 2023-07-17

Long-Term Bitcoin Investment Trends

Recent analysis from leading market analytics platforms suggests that long-term Bitcoin investors could drive a significant price surge. The increasing trend of unspent transaction output (UTXO) Value Bands, particularly those holding between 1,000 to 10,000 BTC, has been steadily rising since December 2022. This growth may indicate that the market hit a long-term bottom in 2022.

UTXOs as Investment Indicators

UTXOs, the remnants of crypto transactions, provide insights into investor behaviors, particularly among large holders or "whales." The increase in these UTXO Value Bands in 2023 mirrors the pattern observed in 2019, which eventually led to a massive price rally. During that period, Bitcoin's value skyrocketed from $4,000 to $61,500 by April 2021, before experiencing a subsequent decline in 2022.

Self-Custody and Market Confidence

Data indicates that the number of Bitcoins held in self-custody or lost wallets has reached a five-year high of 7,781,224 BTC. This rise reflects growing confidence in Bitcoin's value preservation, coinciding with recent positive developments in the cryptocurrency sector. Notably, Ripple's legal victory against the US Securities and Exchange Commission and the acceptance of spot BTC ETF applications have revitalized market sentiment.

Current Bitcoin Market Status

Bitcoin has been consolidating in a narrow range between $30,200 and $30,400, showing a slight decline of 0.05% over the past 24 hours. With an increased trading volume of $8.2 billion, Bitcoin is currently priced at $30,275. Despite this, Bitcoin remains 4.83% below its local peak of $31,814 recorded on July 13.

These trends and developments suggest that the foundation for a potential Bitcoin price surge is being laid, driven by strategic positions taken by long-term investors and broader market support.

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