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Bitcoin Short-Term Holders Reap Profits Amid Volatility

Short-term Bitcoin holders are capitalizing on market volatility, while options traders show optimism for future price movements.
Published on 2023-07-07

Bitcoin Short-Term Holders in Profit

Recent analysis of Bitcoin's on-chain data reveals that short-term holders (STHs) are currently benefiting from the market's volatility. These traders, who typically hold Bitcoin for brief periods, are capitalizing on price fluctuations by selling at a profit rather than a loss. The realized profit/loss ratio, a key trading indicator, indicates that STHs are experiencing more gains than losses.

The 7-day exponential moving average (EMA) of this ratio has consistently remained above 1, suggesting that STHs are successfully navigating the volatile market conditions. This trend is common during market rallies, where STHs accumulate significant profits, contrasting with bearish phases where the ratio falls below 1, indicating losses.

Market Optimism Among Options Traders

As Bitcoin stabilizes around $30,500, options traders are showing signs of optimism. Despite recent consolidation, the market sentiment leans towards a potential recovery. This is evident as more traders are placing "call" options rather than "puts," implying a bullish outlook for Bitcoin.

Furthermore, the Bitcoin Options open interest, which tracks the total open orders, has surged to levels near October 2021 highs, reaching approximately $15.05 billion. This increase in open interest suggests growing confidence among traders in the potential for Bitcoin's price to rise.

In summary, short-term Bitcoin holders are effectively monetizing the current market volatility, while the options market reflects a positive sentiment towards potential price recovery. These dynamics highlight the adaptability and strategic approach of traders in the ever-changing cryptocurrency landscape.

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