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Bitcoin Market Peak: On-Chain Data and Price Action Insights

Explore Bitcoin's potential market peak through on-chain analytics and historical data, highlighting stablecoin trends and price action dynamics.
Published on 2025-03-16

Bitcoin Market Peak: On-Chain Data and Price Action Insights

Bitcoin's recent slowdown has sparked debate about whether the market has reached its peak. On-chain analytics platform IntoTheBlock offers insights, suggesting that historical halving data indicates peaks typically occur 12-18 months post-halving, pointing to mid-to-late 2025. Institutional flows and regulations could reshape this cycle, but the current cycle likely has more time.

Stablecoin data also supports this narrative. Historically, stablecoin supply peaks align with cycle highs. In April 2022, supply hit $187 billion as the bear market began. Now, it's at $219 billion and rising, suggesting the market remains in mid-cycle. Stablecoins' combined market cap is nearing Ethereum's, signaling rising market caution.

Bitcoin's price action reflects persistent sell pressure and weak demand since January. It dropped to $76,555 on March 11, a 30% fall from its January 2025 high of $109,114. This decline led to significant outflows from Bitcoin ETFs and long position liquidations. Bitcoin rebounded to $85,301 before facing resistance at $83,984 (daily SMA 200). At press time, Bitcoin was down 1.69% in the last 24 hours to $82,864.

While Bitcoin shows resilience amid global market turmoil, on-chain data and historical trends suggest the market peak may still be ahead.

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